Introduction

In 2021, India faced one of its most challenging crises with the deadly second wave of the pandemic. The situation was particularly dire, leading to widespread grief and loss. Despite the daunting circumstances, Prime Minister Narendra Modi continued to face significant criticisms due to certain policy decisions, such as the election campaigning during a pandemic surge and the uncontrolled Kumbh Mela. However, recent developments have seen a remarkable turnaround in public perception and an increase in the PM's popularity index.

The Lowest Point of Modi's Popularity

During the pandemic surge, India experienced an alarming increase in cases, leading to widespread deaths and economic turmoil. The second wave left a deep impact, and many Indians, including close acquaintances, suffered. The public outcry and the challenge in controlling the pandemic took a toll on Modi's popularity, as reflected in the MOTN Poll. Multiple factors contributed to this dip in his public image, including:

The election campaign in Bengal during the surge in Maharashtra. Allowing the Kumbh Mela despite the ongoing pandemic. The slow rollout and distribution of vaccines.

Recovery and Resilience

However, the narrative took a turn for the better as the country began to emerge from the second wave. Several positive developments have contributed to this recovery:

Accelerated Vaccinations

The speed of vaccinations has significantly improved, and the country is well-positioned to achieve its goal. Massive vaccinations in August demonstrated the government's commitment to public health. India even surpassed some Western media’s ambitious targets, effectively countering skeptical predictions.

Robust Economic Performance

The economy has shown strong growth, despite partial lockdowns. The Q1 growth rate of 20% is commendable and higher than anticipated, considering the impact of the second wave. Additionally, India's exports have been growing, showcasing the resilience of the economy amidst global supply chain disruptions.

Government's Handling of Kerala

A notable positive is the turnaround in how the government handled Kerala during the second wave. There were some initial mistakes, but the government's swift action led to a quick recovery. Now, Kerala is a sore spot, but many citizens and observers acknowledge the government's effective response in controlling the situation and reducing the spread of the virus.

Global Developments and Their Impact

The situation in Afghanistan under the Taliban regime, supported by Pakistan, has also had a ripple effect on perceptions. The Taliban's rise and the global response to it have highlighted majoritarianism, authoritarianism, and fascism. Critiques of the Indian government, which were once harsh and unfounded, now seem shallow in light of international events. The media's lack of reaction to the Afghan developments further emphasizes the disconnect with public sentiment.

Conclusion

While the second wave of the pandemic posed a significant threat, the recovery efforts and the turnaround in public opinion highlight Modi's leadership. Despite the initial setbacks and criticisms, the country is on track to recover its pre-COVID status. The economic performance, vaccination drive, and government's handling of emergencies have significantly contributed to the resurgence of Modi's popularity. As the MOTN poll approaches in January, it is clear that the Indian people are ready to reaffirm their support for their leader.